Market Flash del 11 de Juny 2020
Dijous, 11 de Juny de 2020
NOTICIAS ECONÓMICAS
- - La OCDE prevé que el PIB español caiga un 11,4% y hasta un 14,4% si hay rebrote.
- - El BCE prepara un "banco malo" para una oleada de deuda tóxica.
- - Alemania contempla nueva deuda por hasta 50.000 millones de euros para financiarse.
- - Grifols ya produce su tratamiento potencial para la Covid-19.
- - Just Eat Takeaway comprará Grubhub por 7.300 millones de dólares.
DATOS MACROECONÓMICOS
- - La débil demanda mantiene contenida la inflación en EEUU.
- - La FED mantiene los tipos cercanos a cero y no da señales de cambiarlas hasta 2022.
- - Las ventas de automóviles en China suben por segundo mes consecutivo.
Fuente: Thomson Reuters. Fecha: Jueves, 11 de Junio de 2020
ECONOMIC EVENTS, YESTERDAY
| Country | Relevance | Indicator Name | Period | Actual |
|---|
| United States | | Fed Int On Excess Reserves | 11 Jun | 0,001 |
| United States | | Fed Funds Target Rate | 11 Jun | 0 - 0,25 |
| United States | | CPI MM, SA | May | -0,001 |
| Japan | | Machinery Orders YY | Apr | -0,177 |
| Japan | | Machinery Orders MM | Apr | -0,12 |
| Japan | | Corp Goods Price YY | May | -0,027 |
| Japan | | Corp Goods Price MM | May | -0,004 |
| United States | | CPI YY, NSA | May | 0,001 |
| United States | | Core CPI YY, NSA | May | 0,012 |
| France | | Industrial Output MM | Apr | -0,201 |
| United States | | Federal Budget,$ | May | -3,99E+11 |
| United States | | TR IPSOS PCSI | Jun | 48,78 |
ECONOMIC EVENTS, TODAY
| Country | Relevance | Indicator Name | Period | Prior |
|---|
| United States | | Initial Jobless Claims | 6 Jun, w/e | 1877000 |
| United States | | PPI exFood/Energy MM | May | 0 |
| United States | | PPI exFood/Energy YY | May | 0 |
| United States | | PPI Final Demand MM | May | 0 |
| United States | | PPI Final Demand YY | May | 0 |
| United States | | Continued Jobless Claims | 30 May, w/e | 21487000 |
| United Kingdom | | RICS Housing Survey | May | -21 |
| Italy | | Industrial Output YY WDA | Apr | 0 |
| Italy | | Industrial Output MM SA | Apr | 0 |
| United States | | PPI ex Food/Energy/Tr MM | May | 0 |
| United States | | PPI ex Food/Energy/Tr YY | May | 0 |
| United States | | Jobless Claims 4-Wk Avg | 6 Jun, w/e | 2284000 |
TOP ECONOMIC INDICATORS
| País | Producto Interior Bruto (PIB) | Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) | Producción Industrial | Confianza Consumidor | Tipo Interés | Inflación | Ventas Minoristas | Desempleo |
|---|
| Eurozona | -3,2 | 30,5 | -5,77 | -20,40 | 0,00 | 0,10 | -19,60 | 7,3 |
| Reino Unido | 1,1 | 30,0 | -5,97 | -33,50 | 0,10 | 0,80 | 7,90 | 3,9 |
| Suiza | -1,3 | 42,1 | 0,80 | -56,00 | -0,75 | -1,30 | -19,90 | 3,4 |
| EEUU | -4,8 | 36,4 | -15,04 | 86,15 | 0,13 | 0,10 | -21,61 | 13,3 |
| Japón | -2,2 | 27,8 | -15,19 | 22,80 | -0,10 | 0,10 | -13,70 | 2,6 |
| China | -6,8 | 53,4 | 3,90 | 116,40 | 4,35 | 2,40 | -7,50 | 3,7 |
| Brasil | -0,3 | 28,1 | -27,20 | 60,15 | 3,00 | 1,88 | -1,20 | 12,6 |
| Rusia | 1,6 | 35,0 | -6,60 | -11,00 | 5,50 | 3,00 | -23,40 | 5,8 |
| India | 3,1 | 14,8 | -3,33 | 63,70 | 4,00 | 5,91 | - | 5,4 |
| México | -1,4 | 38,3 | -2,83 | 43,56 | 5,50 | 2,84 | -1,30 | 2,9 |
EQUITY INDICES
| EUROPE | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD |
| IBEX 35 | 7.663,9 | -1,14% | | 5.814,5 | 10.100,2 | -19,7% |
|---|
| EURO STOXX 50 | 3.293,7 | -0,81% | | 2.302,8 | 3.867,3 | -12,1% |
|---|
| STOXX 600 | 359,3 | -0,78% | | 252,9 | 421,4 | -11,1% |
|---|
| CAC 40 | 5.053,4 | -0,82% | | 3.632,1 | 6.111,4 | -15,5% |
|---|
| DAX 30 | 12.530,2 | -0,70% | | 8.255,7 | 13.795,2 | -5,4% |
|---|
| MIB | 19.758,0 | -0,86% | | 14.153,1 | 25.483,1 | -15,9% |
|---|
| FTSE 100 | 6.329,1 | -0,10% | | 4.898,8 | 7.689,7 | -16,1% |
|---|
| SMI | 10.147,2 | -0,37% | | 7.650,2 | 11.270,0 | -4,4% |
|---|
| AMERICA | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD |
| DOW JONES | 26.990,0 | -1,04% | | 18.213,7 | 29.568,6 | -5,4% |
|---|
| S&P 500 | 3.190,1 | -0,53% | | 2.191,9 | 3.393,5 | -1,3% |
|---|
| NASDAQ | 10.020,3 | 0,67% | | 6.631,4 | 10.086,9 | 11,7% |
|---|
| MEXICO S&P/BMV | 38.266,2 | -2,35% | | 32.503,3 | 45.955,4 | -12,1% |
|---|
| BRAZIL BOVESPA | 94.686,0 | -2,13% | | 61.690,5 | 119.593,1 | -18,1% |
|---|
| ASIA | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD |
| NIKKEI 225 | 23.125,0 | 0,15% | | 16.358,2 | 24.116,0 | -2,2% |
|---|
| HANG SENG | 25.049,7 | -0,03% | | 21.139,3 | 29.174,9 | -11,1% |
|---|
| SSE SHANGAI | 2.943,8 | -0,42% | | 2.646,8 | 3.127,2 | -3,5% |
|---|
| SENSEX INDIA | 34.247,1 | 0,86% | | 25.638,9 | 42.273,9 | -17,0% |
|---|
| MOEX10 RUSSIA | 2.785,2 | -0,38% | | 2.073,9 | 3.226,9 | -8,6% |
|---|
| AUSTRALIA ASX 200 | 6.148,4 | 0,06% | | 4.402,5 | 7.197,2 | -8,0% |
|---|
EQUITY - GEOGRAPHIC & SECTOR
| GEOGRAPHIC | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD |
| MSCI - World | 6.698,6 | -0,35% | | 4.710,8 | 7.141,1 | -3,1% |
|---|
| MSCI - All Countries | 271,8 | -0,27% | | 192,5 | 290,5 | -3,7% |
|---|
| MSCI - Europe | 217,1 | -0,34% | | 164,5 | 254,1 | -11,0% |
|---|
| MSCI - Nordic Countries | 20.447,4 | -0,39% | | 14.068,7 | 21.108,6 | 0,1% |
|---|
| MSCI - Emerging Markets | 483,0 | 0,30% | | 359,8 | 542,9 | -8,4% |
|---|
| MSCI - Asia Pacific ex Japan | 488,7 | 0,72% | | 371,5 | 528,3 | -4,1% |
|---|
| MSCI - Frontier Markets | 773,9 | -0,73% | | 646,2 | 927,5 | -14,9% |
|---|
| MSCI - BRIC | 579,0 | 0,50% | | 445,7 | 649,1 | -7,3% |
|---|
| SECTOR | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD |
| MSCI - Cyc. Cons. | 381,9 | 0,08% | | 253,7 | 383,4 | 3,5% |
|---|
| MSCI - Non-Cyc. Cons. | 367,7 | 0,16% | | 294,4 | 387,3 | -3,6% |
|---|
| MSCI - Energy | 228,9 | -3,63% | | 132,0 | 326,1 | -28,4% |
|---|
| MSCI - Financials | 170,4 | -2,40% | | 119,6 | 209,8 | -17,6% |
|---|
| MSCI - Industrials | 354,6 | -1,45% | | 243,8 | 401,6 | -9,4% |
|---|
| MSCI - Technology | 411,9 | 1,50% | | 277,5 | 411,9 | 12,7% |
|---|
| MSCI - Materials | 391,6 | -0,10% | | 260,3 | 411,7 | -4,9% |
|---|
| MSCI - Met.& Min. | 403,8 | 1,26% | | 254,9 | 415,1 | -1,8% |
|---|
| MSCI - Real Est. | 453,7 | -1,67% | | 321,3 | 528,3 | -9,3% |
|---|
| MSCI - Telecom. | 147,1 | -0,25% | | 108,8 | 152,2 | 1,4% |
|---|
| MSCI - Biotech | 371,6 | 0,53% | | 280,5 | 371,6 | 4,7% |
|---|
| MSCI - Healthcare | 392,9 | 0,22% | | 286,5 | 393,9 | 3,1% |
|---|
| MSCI - Utilities | 272,9 | -0,53% | | 204,0 | 310,1 | -4,0% |
|---|
FOREX & COMMODITIES
| CURRENCIES | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD |
| EUR/USD | 1,1369 | 0,26% | | 1,0635 | 1,1492 | -0,9% |
|---|
| EUR/GBP | 0,8921 | 0,15% | | 0,8280 | 0,9500 | -0,7% |
|---|
| EUR/CHF | 1,0734 | -0,44% | | 1,0502 | 1,0915 | -4,6% |
|---|
| EUR/JPY | 121,8300 | -0,26% | | 114,4100 | 124,4200 | -3,1% |
|---|
| EUR/NOK | 10,5640 | 0,44% | | 9,8130 | 13,1678 | 6,6% |
|---|
| US Dollar Index | 95,9590 | -0,38% | | 94,6500 | 102,9920 | -0,2% |
|---|
| COMMODITIES | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD |
| GOLD | 1.736,2 | 1,28% | | 1451,0 | 1764,6 | 14,5% |
|---|
| BRENT OIL | 41,7 | 1,34% | | 16,0 | 71,8 | -36,8% |
|---|
| CRUDE OIL WTI | 39,6 | 1,69% | | -40,3 | 65,7 | -35,1% |
|---|
BOND YIELDS
| GOVERNMENT | Yield | Yield Chg. | Yield Chg. % | 52W Range |
| BRAZIL 10Y | 6,670 | -9,000 | | -1,33% | 6,33 / 9,84 |
| ITALY 10Y | 1,514 | 5,100 | | 3,49% | 0,758 / 3,012 |
| AUSTRALIA 10Y | 1,023 | -2,900 | | -2,76% | 0,555 / 1,539 |
| US 10Y | 0,748 | -8,100 | | -9,77% | 0,318 / 2,15 |
| SPAIN 10Y | 0,690 | 4,400 | | 6,81% | 0,023 / 1,389 |
| CANADA 10Y | 0,566 | -6,800 | | -10,73% | 0,233 / 1,736 |
| GREAT BRITIAN 10Y | 0,269 | -6,700 | | -19,94% | 0,074 / 1,058 |
| FRANCE 10Y | 0,075 | 0,100 | | 1,35% | -0,454 / 0,52 |
| JAPAN 10Y | 0,021 | 0,500 | | 31,25% | -0,29 / 0,106 |
| SWITZERLAND 10Y | -0,304 | -0,300 | | 1,00% | -1,132 / -0,205 |
| GERMANY 10Y | -0,331 | -2,100 | | 6,77% | -0,909 / -0,142 |
BOND INDEX
| EURO | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return | 1Y Yield Range | Yield | YTD |
| iBoxx EUR Corporates | 234,5 | -0,15% | | 1,33 | 1,33 | -1,32% |
|---|
| iBoxx EUR High Yield | 193,9 | -0,33% | | 5,94 | 5,94 | -4,81% |
|---|
| iBoxx EUR Sovereigns | 251,8 | -0,16% | | 0,53 | 0,53 | 0,4% |
|---|
| USD | 11/06/2020 | Daily Return | 1Y Yield Range | Yield | YTD |
| iBoxx USD Corporates | 324,80 | 0,28% | | 2,597 / 4,836 | 3,29 | 4,24% |
|---|
| iBoxx USD High Yield | 295,48 | -0,33% | | 5,403 / 10,122 | 7,30 | -2,80% |
|---|
| iBoxx USD Treasuries | 262,602 | 0,48% | | 0,842 / 2,662 | 0,94 | 8,43% |
|---|
