02 Jul
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NOTICIAS ECONÓMICAS
- Cientos de arrestados durante las protestas en Hong Kong.
- Facebook trata de capear el boicot pero cada vez se suman más empresas.
- S&P baja a "default" la calificación de siete bonos argentinos en dólares.
- La cámara baja de EEUU aprueba un gran paquete de infraestructuras, pero las perspectivas son inciertas.
- Apple vuelve a cerrar tiendas en siete estados de EEUU y suma 77 locales sin operar.
- Los nuevos casos diarios de Covid-19 en EEUU superan los 50.000.
DATOS MACROECONÓMICOS
- Se espera un récord de creación de empleo en EEUU en Junio a medida que se reabre la economía.
- El PMI Manufacturero en EEUU se sitúa en 52,6 vs el 49,5 esperado.
- El desempleo en Alemania se sitúa en el 6,4%.
Fuente: Thomson Reuters. Fecha: Jueves, 02 de Julio de 2020
ECONOMIC EVENTS, YESTERDAY
| Country | Relevance | Indicator Name | Period | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | ISM Manufacturing PMI | Jun | 52,6 | |
| United States | Markit Mfg PMI Final | Jun | 49,8 | |
| Euro Zone | Markit Mfg Final PMI | Jun | 47,4 | |
| Germany | Unemployment Rate SA | Jun | 0,064 | |
| Germany | Unemployment Chg SA | Jun | 69.000 | |
| Germany | Markit/BME Mfg PMI | Jun | 45,2 | |
| Japan | Jibun Bank Mfg PMI | Jun | 40,1 | |
| Japan | Tankan All Sm Capex Est | Q2 | -0,165 | |
| Japan | Tankan Sm Non-Mf Outlook DI | Q2 | -33 | |
| Japan | Tankan Small Non-Mf Idx | Q2 | -26 | |
| Japan | Tankan Sm Mf Outlook DI | Q2 | -47 | |
| Japan | Tankan Small Mf Idx | Q2 | -45 |
ECONOMIC EVENTS, TODAY
| Country | Relevance | Indicator Name | Period | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | Factory Orders MM | May | 0 | |
| United States | Initial Jobless Claims | 27 Jun, w/e | 1480000 | |
| United States | International Trade $ | May | -49400000000 | |
| United States | Average Earnings YY | Jun | 0 | |
| United States | Unemployment Rate | Jun | 0 | |
| United States | Non-Farm Payrolls | Jun | 2509000 | |
| Euro Zone | Unemployment Rate | May | 0 | |
| United States | Continued Jobless Claims | 20 Jun, w/e | 19522000 | |
| United States | Average Workweek Hrs | Jun | 34,70 | |
| United States | Average Earnings MM | Jun | 0 | |
| United States | Private Payrolls | Jun | 3094000 | |
| Euro Zone | Producer Prices YY | May | 0 |
TOP ECONOMIC INDICATORS
| País | Producto Interior Bruto (PIB) | Purchasing Managers? Index (PMI) | Producción Industrial | Confianza Consumidor | Tipo Interés | Inflación | Ventas Minoristas | Desempleo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eurozona | -3,2 | 47,5 | -28,00 | -18,50 | 0,00 | 0,30 | -19,60 | 7,3 |
| Reino Unido | -1,7 | 30,0 | -28,50 | -32,33 | 0,10 | 0,50 | 7,90 | 3,9 |
| Suiza | -1,3 | 41,9 | 0,80 | -56,00 | -0,75 | -1,30 | 6,60 | 3,4 |
| EEUU | -4,8 | 46,8 | -15,76 | 89,90 | 0,13 | 0,10 | -6,08 | 13,3 |
| Japón | -2,2 | 37,9 | -19,98 | 24,67 | -0,10 | 0,10 | -12,30 | 2,9 |
| China | -6,8 | 54,2 | 4,15 | 116,10 | 4,35 | 2,40 | -2,80 | 3,7 |
| Brasil | -0,3 | 28,1 | -27,20 | 63,80 | 2,25 | 1,88 | -16,80 | 12,9 |
| Rusia | 1,6 | 35,0 | -8,10 | -11,00 | 4,50 | 3,00 | -19,20 | 6,1 |
| India | 3,1 | 14,8 | -3,83 | 63,70 | 4,00 | 5,91 | - | 5,4 |
| México | -1,4 | 38,6 | -29,30 | 43,56 | 5,00 | 2,84 | -23,80 | 2,9 |
EQUITY INDICES
| EUROPE | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBEX 35 | 7.227,4 | -0,06% | 5.814,5 | 10.100,2 | -24,3% | |
| EURO STOXX 50 | 3.228,5 | -0,17% | 2.302,8 | 3.867,3 | -13,8% | |
| STOXX 600 | 352,6 | -0,05% | 252,9 | 421,4 | -12,7% | |
| CAC 40 | 4.926,9 | -0,18% | 3.632,1 | 6.111,4 | -17,6% | |
| DAX 30 | 12.260,6 | -0,41% | 8.255,7 | 13.795,2 | -7,5% | |
| MIB | 19.330,9 | -0,23% | 14.153,1 | 25.483,1 | -17,8% | |
| FTSE 100 | 6.158,0 | -0,19% | 4.898,8 | 7.689,7 | -18,4% | |
| SMI | 10.089,7 | 0,44% | 7.650,2 | 11.270,0 | -5,0% | |
| AMERICA | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOW JONES | 25.015,6 | -0,30% | 18.213,7 | 29.568,6 | -12,3% | |
| S&P 500 | 3.115,9 | 0,50% | 2.191,9 | 3.393,5 | -3,6% | |
| NASDAQ | 10.154,6 | 0,95% | 6.631,4 | 10.221,8 | 13,2% | |
| MEXICO S&P/BMV | 37.619,8 | -0,26% | 32.503,3 | 45.955,4 | -13,6% | |
| BRAZIL BOVESPA | 96.203,2 | 1,21% | 61.690,5 | 119.593,1 | -16,8% | |
| ASIA | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIKKEI 225 | 22.121,7 | -0,75% | 16.358,2 | 24.116,0 | -6,5% | |
| HANG SENG | 24.427,2 | 0,00% | 21.139,3 | 29.174,9 | -13,3% | |
| SSE SHANGAI | 3.026,0 | 1,38% | 2.646,8 | 3.127,2 | -0,8% | |
| SENSEX INDIA | 35.414,5 | 1,43% | 25.638,9 | 42.273,9 | -14,2% | |
| MOEX10 RUSSIA | 2.743,2 | -0,89% | 2.073,9 | 3.226,9 | -9,9% | |
| AUSTRALIA ASX 200 | 5.934,4 | 1,66% | 4.402,5 | 7.197,2 | -9,7% | |
EQUITY - GEOGRAPHIC & SECTOR
| GEOGRAPHIC | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI - World | 6.539,4 | 0,44% | 4.710,8 | 7.141,1 | -5,4% | |
| MSCI - All Countries | 265,9 | 0,46% | 192,5 | 290,5 | -5,8% | |
| MSCI - Europe | 213,1 | 0,22% | 164,5 | 254,1 | -12,6% | |
| MSCI - Nordic Countries | 20.147,1 | 1,05% | 14.068,7 | 21.108,6 | -1,3% | |
| MSCI - Emerging Markets | 478,9 | 0,62% | 359,8 | 542,9 | -9,2% | |
| MSCI - Asia Pacific ex Japan | 487,1 | 0,37% | 371,5 | 528,3 | -4,4% | |
| MSCI - Frontier Markets | 768,4 | 0,28% | 646,2 | 927,5 | -15,5% | |
| MSCI - BRIC | 581,1 | 0,65% | 445,7 | 649,1 | -7,0% | |
| SECTOR | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI - Cyc. Cons. | 378,6 | 1,22% | 253,7 | 383,4 | 2,6% | |
| MSCI - Non-Cyc. Cons. | 359,6 | 0,14% | 294,4 | 387,3 | -5,7% | |
| MSCI - Energy | 204,0 | -0,86% | 132,0 | 326,1 | -36,2% | |
| MSCI - Financials | 158,5 | -0,49% | 119,6 | 209,8 | -23,4% | |
| MSCI - Industrials | 338,5 | -0,21% | 243,8 | 401,6 | -13,5% | |
| MSCI - Technology | 417,0 | 0,23% | 277,5 | 417,0 | 14,1% | |
| MSCI - Materials | 381,9 | 0,05% | 260,3 | 411,7 | -7,2% | |
| MSCI - Met.& Min. | 397,8 | -0,06% | 254,9 | 415,1 | -3,3% | |
| MSCI - Real Est. | 438,5 | 1,94% | 321,3 | 528,3 | -12,3% | |
| MSCI - Telecom. | 145,0 | 1,80% | 108,8 | 152,2 | 0,0% | |
| MSCI - Biotech | 369,2 | 0,55% | 280,5 | 373,3 | 4,0% | |
| MSCI - Healthcare | 388,9 | 0,62% | 286,5 | 393,9 | 2,0% | |
| MSCI - Utilities | 263,9 | 1,44% | 204,0 | 310,1 | -7,1% | |
FOREX & COMMODITIES
| CURRENCIES | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1,1250 | 0,17% | 1,0635 | 1,1492 | -1,9% | |
| EUR/GBP | 0,9018 | -0,43% | 0,8280 | 0,9500 | 0,4% | |
| EUR/CHF | 1,0640 | -0,01% | 1,0502 | 1,0915 | -5,5% | |
| EUR/JPY | 120,9000 | -0,26% | 114,4100 | 124,4200 | -3,8% | |
| EUR/NOK | 10,7025 | -1,00% | 9,8130 | 13,1678 | 8,0% | |
| US Dollar Index | 97,1960 | -0,20% | 94,6500 | 102,9920 | 1,1% | |
| COMMODITIES | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return % | Yr. Low | Yr. High | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLD | 1.770,0 | -0,60% | 1451,0 | 1789,0 | 16,7% | |
| BRENT OIL | 42,0 | 2,14% | 16,0 | 71,8 | -36,3% | |
| CRUDE OIL WTI | 39,8 | 1,40% | -40,3 | 65,7 | -34,8% | |
BOND YIELDS
| GOVERNMENT | Yield | Yield Chg. | Yield Chg. % | 52W Range | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRAZIL 10Y | 6,605 | -9,500 | -1,42% | 6,33 / 9,84 | |
| ITALY 10Y | 1,343 | 1,600 | 1,21% | 0,758 / 3,012 | |
| AUSTRALIA 10Y | 0,932 | 4,800 | 5,43% | 0,555 / 1,539 | |
| US 10Y | 0,682 | 2,900 | 4,44% | 0,318 / 2,1 | |
| CANADA 10Y | 0,527 | 1,700 | 3,33% | 0,233 / 1,736 | |
| SPAIN 10Y | 0,512 | 4,000 | 8,47% | 0,023 / 1,389 | |
| GREAT BRITIAN 10Y | 0,212 | 4,000 | 23,26% | 0,074 / 1,058 | |
| JAPAN 10Y | 0,048 | 2,100 | 77,78% | -0,29 / 0,106 | |
| FRANCE 10Y | -0,060 | 5,900 | -49,58% | -0,454 / 0,52 | |
| SWITZERLAND 10Y | -0,396 | 3,500 | -8,12% | -1,132 / -0,205 | |
| GERMANY 10Y | -0,400 | 6,000 | -13,04% | -0,909 / -0,142 | |
BOND INDEX
| EURO | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return | 1Y Yield Range | Yield | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iBoxx EUR Corporates | 234,2 | -0,24% | 0,95 | 0,95 | -1,45% | |
| iBoxx EUR High Yield | 192,7 | 0,02% | 4,70 | 4,70 | -5,39% | |
| iBoxx EUR Sovereigns | 254,8 | -0,48% | 0,35 | 0,35 | 1,5% | |
| USD | 02/07/2020 | Daily Return | 1Y Yield Range | Yield | YTD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iBoxx USD Corporates | 327,28 | 0,15% | 2,736 / 4,761 | 2,74 | 5,04% | |
| iBoxx USD High Yield | 289,17 | 0,32% | 5,4 / 10,745 | 6,10 | -4,87% | |
| iBoxx USD Treasuries | 263,990 | -0,14% | 0,756 / 2,271 | 0,98 | 9,00% | |