Markets from 6 to 13 of December 2019
Monday, 16 of December 2019
Europa
- - La confianza de los inversores de la zona euro sube por el crecimiento en Asia.
- - El aumento de las exportaciones estimula la complicada economía alemana.
- - La economía británica se estanca a las puertas de las urnas ante el Brexit y el frenazo global.
- - Johnson gana con una mayoría clara en las elecciones del Reino Unido.
- - Lagarde promete un nuevo estilo mientras anuncia una amplia revisión del BCE.
EEUU & Canadá
- - México y EEUU, muy cerca de lograr acuerdo para ratificar tratado comercial TMEC.
- - El crecimiento del empleo en EEUU se acelera en noviembre hasta la mayor tasa en 10 meses.
- - La Fed mantiene los tipos en medio de un panorama "favorable".
- - EE.UU. registra en noviembre la mayor inflación interanual en el año.
- - EEUU y China, "muy cerca" de acuerdo comercial para distender guerra arancelaria.
- - Las peticiones por desempleo en EEUU ascienden a un máximo de 2 años.
Asia
- - El PIB de Japón creció un 1,8 % interanual en julio-septiembre, según la revisión al alza.
- - China golpea a Microsoft y HP y ordena retirar los PC y el software de empresas extranjeras.
- - La confianza empresarial en Japón cayó en diciembre a su peor nivel desde 2013.
Resto del mundo
- - Brasil reduce el tipo de interés al 4,50 % anual, nuevo mínimo histórico.
Empresas y Otros
- - Arabia Saudita y Rusia logran mayores recortes de producción de crudo de la OPEP.
- - Ted Baker agrava su crisis y su desplome bursátil.
- - Saudi Aramco sube un 10% y se convierte en la empresa más capitalizada del mundo.
Fuente: Thomson Reuters. Fecha: Lunes, 16 de Diciembre de 2019
ECONOMIC EVENTS (Semanal)
| Date | Country | Relevance | Indicator Name | Reuters Poll | Actual | Unit | Prior |
|---|
| 09/12/2019 | Japan | | GDP Rev QQ Annualised | 0,7 | 1,8 | Percent | 0,2 |
| 09/12/2019 | Japan | | GDP Revised QQ | 0,2 | 0,4 | Percent | 0,1 |
| 09/12/2019 | Japan | | GDP Cap Ex Rev QQ | 1,7 | 1,8 | Percent | 0,9 |
| 10/12/2019 | United Kingdom | | GDP Est 3M/3M | 0 | 0 | Percent | 0,3 |
| 10/12/2019 | United Kingdom | | GDP Estimate MM | 0,1 | 0 | Percent | -0,1 |
| 10/12/2019 | United Kingdom | | GDP Estimate YY | 0,7 | 0,7 | Percent | 0,9 |
| 10/12/2019 | United Kingdom | | Manufacturing Output MM | 0 | 0,2 | Percent | -0,4 |
| 10/12/2019 | Germany | | ZEW Economic Sentiment | 0 | 10,7 | Net balance | -2,1 |
| 10/12/2019 | Germany | | ZEW Current Conditions | -22,3 | -19,9 | Net balance | -24,7 |
| 11/12/2019 | Japan | | Corp Goods Price MM | 0,1 | 0,2 | Percent | 1,1 |
| 11/12/2019 | Japan | | Corp Goods Price YY | 0 | 0,1 | Percent | -0,4 |
| 11/12/2019 | United States | | CPI MM, SA | 0,2 | 0,3 | Percent | 0,4 |
| 11/12/2019 | United States | | Fed Funds Target Rate | 1.5-1.75 | 1.5-1.75 | Percent | 1.5-1.75 |
| 11/12/2019 | United States | | Fed Int On Excess Reserves | 0 | 1,55 | Percent | 1,55 |
| 12/12/2019 | Japan | | Machinery Orders MM | -- | -6 | Percent | -2,9 |
| 12/12/2019 | Japan | | Machinery Orders YY | -1,8 | -6,1 | Percent | 5,1 |
| 12/12/2019 | Germany | | HICP Final YY | 1,2 | 1,2 | Percent | 1,2 |
| 12/12/2019 | France | | CPI (EU Norm) Final MM | 0,1 | 0,1 | Percent | 0,1 |
| 12/12/2019 | France | | CPI (EU Norm) Final YY | 1,2 | 1,2 | Percent | 1,2 |
| 12/12/2019 | Switzerland | | SNB Policy Rate | -0,75 | -0,75 | Percent | -0,75 |
| 12/12/2019 | Euro Zone | | ECB Refinancing Rate | 0 | 0 | Percent | 0 |
| 12/12/2019 | Euro Zone | | ECB Deposit Rate | -0,5 | -0,5 | Percent | -0,5 |
| 12/12/2019 | United States | | Initial Jobless Claims | 213000 | 252000 | Person | 203000 |
| 13/12/2019 | Japan | | Tankan Big Mf Idx | 2 | 0 | Index (diffusion) | 5 |
| 34 | | | | | | | |
MERCADOS RENTA VARIABLE
| EUROPA |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| IBEX 35 PR | 9382,7 | 9563,7 | 1,93% | | 8354,80 | 9650,90 | 11,99% | -14,97% |
|---|
| CAC 40 PR | 5871,91 | 5919,02 | 0,80% | | 4606,20 | 5972,17 | 25,12% | -10,95% |
|---|
| DAX 30 PR | 13166,58 | 13282,72 | 0,88% | | 10386,97 | 13423,41 | 25,80% | -18,26% |
|---|
| STOXX 600 PR | 398,43 | 401,62 | 0,80% | | 321,80 | 405,10 | 22,26% | -14,79% |
|---|
| EURO STOXX 50 PR | 3692,34 | 3731,07 | 1,05% | | 2936,76 | 3765,70 | 24,31% | -14,34% |
|---|
| FTSE 100 PR | 7239,66 | 7353,44 | 1,57% | | 6599,48 | 7727,49 | 9,29% | -12,48% |
|---|
| AMERICAS |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| DJI | 28015,06 | 28135,38 | 0,43% | | 22638,41 | 28290,73 | 20,61% | -5,63% |
|---|
| NASDAQ 100 | 8397,37 | 8487,71 | 1,08% | | 6139,40 | 8517,52 | 34,09% | -1,04% |
|---|
| NASDAQ COMP | 8656,53 | 8734,88 | 0,91% | | 6457,13 | 8768,87 | 31,64% | -3,88% |
|---|
| S&P 500 | 3145,91 | 3168,80 | 0,73% | | 2443,96 | 3182,68 | 26,41% | -6,24% |
|---|
| IPC | 41938,69 | 44254,43 | 5,52% | | 38265,51 | 45599,57 | 6,28% | -15,63% |
|---|
| BOVESPA | 111125,75 | 112564,86 | 1,30% | | 87535,87 | 112829,31 | 28,08% | 15,03% |
|---|
| ASIA |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| HANG SENG | 26498,37 | 27687,76 | 4,49% | | 24896,87 | 30280,12 | 7,13% | -13,61% |
|---|
| NIKKEI 225 | 23354,40 | 24023,10 | 2,86% | | 19241,37 | 24050,04 | 20,03% | -12,08% |
|---|
| SENSEX | 40445,15 | 41009,71 | 1,40% | | 35287,16 | 41163,79 | 13,70% | 5,91% |
|---|
Fixed income marketsMERCADOS RENTA VARIABLE
| VOLATILITY |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| VIX | 13,62 | 12,63 | -7,27% | | 11,03 | 28,53 | -50,31% | 130,25% |
|---|
| SECTORIAL |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | % Return, W | Variación |
| MSCI - Materials | 262,28646 | 267,67809 | 2,06% | |
| MSCI - Cyc. Cons. | 269,546298 | 273,847015 | 1,60% | |
| MSCI - Non-Cyc. Cons. | 247,669414 | 248,200077 | 0,21% | |
| MSCI - Energy | 189,184099 | 190,46643 | 0,68% | |
| MSCI - Financials | 125,721183 | 128,184432 | 1,96% | |
| MSCI - Healthcare | 271,832658 | 273,139882 | 0,48% | |
| MSCI - Industrials | 273,434973 | 276,089091 | 0,97% | |
| MSCI - Technology | 162,091146 | 165,049655 | 1,83% | |
| MSCI - Tel. Servs. | 926,919275 | 925,69583 | -0,13% | |
| MSCI - Utilities | 145,070102 | 146,704218 | 1,13% | |
| MSCI - Biotechnology | 856,624633 | 853,342652 | -0,38% | |
| MSCI - Gold & Prec. Metals | 275,609021 | 288,528301 | 4,69% | |
| GLOBAL |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | % Return, W | Variación |
| MSCI - ACWI | 262,29 | 267,68 | 2,06% | |
| MSCI - ACWI ex USA | 269,55 | 273,85 | 1,60% | |
| MSCI - WORLD | 247,67 | 248,20 | 0,21% | |
| MSCI - WORLD ex USA | 189,18 | 190,47 | 0,68% | |
| MSCI - EAFE | 782,72 | 796,19 | 1,72% | |
| MSCI - EMERGING M. | 271,83 | 273,14 | 0,48% | |
| MSCI - BRIC | 273,43 | 276,09 | 0,97% | |
MERCADOS DE RENTA FIJA
| BENCHMARK BONDS, 10Y |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | Chng. Pb | Variación |
| Spain 10Y | 0,5030 | 0,4270 | -7,60 | |
| Greece 10Y | 1,5630 | 1,3960 | -16,70 | |
| Italy 10Y | 1,4470 | 1,2580 | -18,90 | |
| Portugal 10Y | 0,4280 | 0,3730 | -5,50 | |
| Germany 10Y | -0,2910 | -0,2940 | -0,30 | |
| France 10Y | 0,0310 | 0,0000 | -3,10 | |
| United Kingdom 10Y | 0,7740 | 0,7920 | 1,80 | |
| United States 10Y | 1,8430 | 1,8210 | -2,20 | |
| RISK PREMIUM |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | Chng. Pb | Variación |
| Spain | 79,40 | 72,10 | -7,30 | |
| Greece | 185,40 | 169,00 | -16,40 | |
| Italy | 173,80 | 155,20 | -18,60 | |
| Portugal | 71,90 | 66,70 | -5,20 | |
| France | 32,20 | 29,40 | -2,80 | |
MERCADOS FOREX & COMMODITIES
| CURRENCIES |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| EUR/USD | 1,1057 | 1,1119 | 0,56% | | 1,0877 | 1,1570 | -3,05% | -4,39% |
|---|
| EUR/GBP | 0,8420 | 0,8339 | -0,96% | | 0,8274 | 0,9324 | -7,18% | 1,14% |
|---|
| EUR/JPY | 120,0700 | 121,5900 | 1,27% | | 115,8400 | 127,5000 | -3,28% | -7,01% |
|---|
| EUR/NOK | 10,0923 | 10,0352 | -0,57% | | 9,5516 | 10,3121 | 1,30% | 0,58% |
|---|
| USD/JPY | 108,5900 | 109,3600 | 0,71% | | 104,4400 | 112,3900 | -0,18% | -2,76% |
|---|
| COMMODITIES |
06/12/2019 |
13/12/2019 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| TR COMMODITY CRB TR | 191,57 | 194,39 | 1,48% | | 174,39 | 197,88 | 10,48% | -10,66% |
|---|
| GOLD | 1459,51 | 1475,56 | 1,10% | | 1265,85 | 1557,00 | 15,03% | -1,51% |
|---|
| OIL | 64,39 | 65,22 | 1,29% | | 52,51 | 75,60 | 21,23% | -19,55% |
|---|
| SILVER | 16,56 | 16,93 | 2,24% | | 14,25 | 19,64 | 9,38% | -8,65% |
|---|
| PALLADIUM | 1877,79 | 1930,49 | 2,81% | | 1244,99 | 1979,95 | 53,06% | 18,88% |
|---|
| COFFEE | 123,70 | 129,45 | 4,65% | | 86,35 | 138,40 | 27,10% | -19,29% |
|---|
| SUGAR | 13,18 | 13,50 | 2,43% | | 10,68 | 13,67 | 12,22% | -20,65% |
|---|
