Mercados del 17 al 24 de enero 2020
Lunes, 27 de enero de 2020
Europa
- - La inflación en la eurozona sube tres décimas en diciembre, al 1,3 %.
- - El FMI recorta las previsiones de crecimiento de España en 2020 y 2021 al 1,6%.
- - La confianza inversora en Alemania (ZEW) sube ante el optimismo sobre las exportaciones.
- - BCE lanza una revisión de estrategias, pero deja sin cambios sus tipos de interés.
EEUU & Canadá
- - Trump promete a los agricultores que acuerdo comercial con China será bueno para ellos.
- - Biden lidera la carrera electoral demócrata de cara a presidenciales en EEUU.
Asia
- - China aumentará las importaciones de EEUU de acuerdo con los "principios de mercado".
- - El PIB chino vuelve a crecer al mínimo desde 1990 pero cumple con el objetivo.
- - El BoJ mantiene su política y revisa al alza previsión de crecimiento en 2020.
- - China cierra varias ciudades en el epicentro del brote de virus.
Fuente: Thomson Reuters. Fecha: Lunes, 27 de Enero de 2020
ECONOMIC EVENTS (Semanal)
| Date | Country | Relevance | Indicator Name | Reuters Poll | Actual | Unit | Prior |
|---|
| 21/01/2020 | United Kingdom | | ILO Unemployment Rate | 3,8 | 3,8 | Percent | 3,8 |
| 21/01/2020 | Germany | | ZEW Economic Sentiment | 15 | 26,7 | Net balance | 10,7 |
| 21/01/2020 | Germany | | ZEW Current Conditions | -13,5 | -9,5 | Net balance | -19,9 |
| 21/01/2020 | Japan | | JP BOJ Rate Decision | -0,1 | -0,1 | Percent | -0,1 |
| 22/01/2020 | France | | Business Climate Mfg | 101 | 100 | Net balance | 102 |
| 22/01/2020 | United States | | Existing Home Sales | 5430000 | 5540000 | Number of | 5350000 |
| 23/01/2020 | Japan | | Exports YY | -4,2 | -6,3 | Percent | -7,9 |
| 23/01/2020 | Japan | | Imports YY | -3,4 | -4,9 | Percent | -15,7 |
| 23/01/2020 | Japan | | Trade Balance Total Yen | -1,5E+11 | -1,525E+11 | JPY | -85200000000 |
| 23/01/2020 | Euro Zone | | ECB Refinancing Rate | 0 | 0 | Percent | 0 |
| 23/01/2020 | Euro Zone | | ECB Deposit Rate | -0,5 | -0,5 | Percent | -0,5 |
| 23/01/2020 | United States | | Initial Jobless Claims | 215000 | 211000 | Person | 205000 |
| 23/01/2020 | Euro Zone | | Consumer Confid. Flash | -7,8 | -8,1 | Net balance | -8,1 |
| 24/01/2020 | Japan | | CPI, Core Nationwide YY | 0,7 | 0,7 | Percent | 0,5 |
| 24/01/2020 | Japan | | CPI, Overall Nationwide | 0 | 0,8 | Percent | 0,5 |
| 24/01/2020 | Japan | | Jibun Bank Mfg PMI Flash | -- | 49,3 | Index (diffusion) | 48,4 |
| 24/01/2020 | France | | Markit Mfg Flash PMI | -- | 51 | Index (diffusion) | 50,4 |
| 24/01/2020 | France | | Markit Serv Flash PMI | 52,2 | 51,7 | Index (diffusion) | 52,4 |
| 24/01/2020 | France | | Markit Comp Flash PMI | 52 | 51,5 | Index (diffusion) | 52 |
| 24/01/2020 | Germany | | Markit Mfg Flash PMI | 44,5 | 45,2 | Index (diffusion) | 43,7 |
| 24/01/2020 | Germany | | Markit Service Flash PMI | 53 | 54,2 | Index (diffusion) | 52,9 |
| 24/01/2020 | Germany | | Markit Comp Flash PMI | 50,5 | 51,1 | Index (diffusion) | 50,2 |
| 24/01/2020 | Euro Zone | | Markit Mfg Flash PMI | 46,8 | 47,8 | Index (diffusion) | 46,3 |
| 24/01/2020 | Euro Zone | | Markit Serv Flash PMI | 52,8 | 52,2 | Index (diffusion) | 52,8 |
| 32 | | | | | | | |
MERCADOS RENTA VARIABLE
| EUROPA |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| IBEX 35 PR | 9681,3 | 9562 | -1,23% | | 8354,80 | 9709,90 | 0,13% | 11,82% |
|---|
| CAC 40 PR | 6100,72 | 6024,26 | -1,25% | | 4606,20 | 6109,81 | 0,77% | 26,37% |
|---|
| DAX 30 PR | 13526,13 | 13576,68 | 0,37% | | 10386,97 | 13640,06 | 2,47% | 25,48% |
|---|
| STOXX 600 PR | 412,09 | 410,04 | -0,50% | | 321,80 | 412,72 | 1,51% | 22,97% |
|---|
| EURO STOXX 50 PR | 3808,26 | 3779,16 | -0,76% | | 2936,76 | 3813,80 | 0,91% | 24,78% |
|---|
| FTSE 100 PR | 7674,56 | 7585,98 | -1,15% | | 6599,48 | 7727,49 | 0,58% | 12,10% |
|---|
| AMERICAS |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| DJI | 29348,10 | 28989,73 | -1,22% | | 22638,41 | 29373,62 | 1,58% | 22,34% |
|---|
| NASDAQ 100 | 9173,73 | 9141,47 | -0,35% | | 6139,40 | 9272,37 | 4,68% | 37,96% |
|---|
| NASDAQ COMP | 9388,94 | 9314,91 | -0,79% | | 6457,13 | 9451,43 | 3,82% | 35,23% |
|---|
| S&P 500 | 3329,62 | 3295,47 | -1,03% | | 2443,96 | 3337,77 | 2,00% | 28,88% |
|---|
| IPC | 45817,76 | 45141,62 | -1,48% | | 38265,51 | 45955,41 | 3,68% | 4,56% |
|---|
| BOVESPA | 118478,30 | 118376,36 | -0,09% | | 87535,87 | 119593,10 | 2,36% | 31,58% |
|---|
| ASIA |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| HANG SENG | 29056,42 | 27949,64 | -3,81% | | 24896,87 | 30280,12 | -0,85% | 9,07% |
|---|
| NIKKEI 225 | 24041,26 | 23827,18 | -0,89% | | 19241,37 | 24115,95 | 0,72% | 18,20% |
|---|
| SENSEX | 41945,37 | 41613,19 | -0,79% | | 35287,16 | 42273,87 | 0,87% | 14,38% |
|---|
MERCADOS RENTA VARIABLE
| VOLATILITY |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| VIX | 12,10 | 14,56 | 20,33% | | 11,03 | 28,53 | 5,66% | -45,79% |
|---|
| SECTORIAL |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | % Return, W | Variación |
| MSCI - Materials | 270,21 | 265,92 | -1,59% | |
| MSCI - Cyc. Cons. | 283,82 | 279,25 | -1,61% | |
| MSCI - Non-Cyc. Cons. | 254,83 | 253,84 | -0,39% | |
| MSCI - Energy | 195,49 | 188,98 | -3,33% | |
| MSCI - Financials | 130,54 | 129,26 | -0,98% | |
| MSCI - Healthcare | 286,23 | 282,05 | -1,46% | |
| MSCI - Industrials | 283,28 | 281,92 | -0,48% | |
| MSCI - Technology | 163,94 | 162,39 | -0,94% | |
| MSCI - Tel. Servs. | 933,62 | 936,00 | 0,26% | |
| MSCI - Utilities | 154,89 | 158,01 | 2,01% | |
| MSCI - Biotechnology | 866,62 | 840,04 | -3,07% | |
| MSCI - Gold & Prec. Metals | 299,37 | 290,93 | -2,82% | |
| GLOBAL |
01/01/1970 |
01/01/1970 | % Return, W | Variación |
MERCADOS DE RENTA FIJA
| BENCHMARK BONDS, 10Y |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | Chng. Pb | Variación |
| Spain 10Y | 0,4680 | 0,3470 | -12,10 | |
| Greece 10Y | 1,4320 | 1,3230 | -10,90 | |
| Italy 10Y | 1,3860 | 1,2300 | -15,60 | |
| Portugal 10Y | 0,3920 | 0,3380 | -5,40 | |
| Germany 10Y | -0,2140 | -0,3300 | -11,60 | |
| France 10Y | 0,0430 | -0,0750 | -11,80 | |
| United Kingdom 10Y | 0,6330 | 0,5640 | -6,90 | |
| United States 10Y | 1,8350 | 1,6800 | -15,50 | |
| RISK PREMIUM |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | Chng. Pb | Variación |
| Spain | 68,20 | 67,70 | -0,50 | |
| Greece | 164,60 | 165,30 | 0,70 | |
| Italy | 160,00 | 156,00 | -4,00 | |
| Portugal | 60,60 | 66,80 | 6,20 | |
| France | 25,70 | 25,50 | -0,20 | |
MERCADOS FOREX & COMMODITIES
| CURRENCIES |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| EUR/USD | 1,1088 | 1,1023 | -0,59% | | 1,0877 | 1,1570 | -1,67% | -2,26% |
|---|
| EUR/GBP | 0,8520 | 0,8431 | -1,04% | | 0,8274 | 0,9324 | -0,27% | -5,90% |
|---|
| EUR/JPY | 122,1200 | 120,4400 | -1,38% | | 115,8400 | 127,5000 | -1,14% | -3,09% |
|---|
| EUR/NOK | 9,8791 | 9,9688 | 0,91% | | 9,5516 | 10,3121 | 1,33% | -0,69% |
|---|
| USD/JPY | 110,1400 | 109,2700 | -0,79% | | 104,4400 | 112,3900 | 0,61% | -0,87% |
|---|
| COMMODITIES |
17/01/2020 |
24/01/2020 | % Return, W | Variación | Low, YTD | High, YTD | % Return, YTD | % Return, 2019Y |
| TR COMMODITY CRB TR | 193,71 | 186,21 | -3,87% | | 174,39 | 198,86 | -5,30% | 11,75% |
|---|
| GOLD | 1556,22 | 1570,37 | 0,91% | | 1265,85 | 1610,90 | 3,52% | 18,26% |
|---|
| OIL | 64,85 | 60,69 | -6,41% | | 52,51 | 75,60 | -8,05% | 22,68% |
|---|
| SILVER | 18,00 | 18,08 | 0,47% | | 14,25 | 19,64 | 1,41% | 15,18% |
|---|
| PALLADIUM | 2480,42 | 2427,74 | -2,12% | | 1244,99 | 2582,19 | 25,04% | 53,93% |
|---|
| COFFEE | 112,15 | 110,15 | -1,78% | | 86,35 | 138,40 | -15,07% | 27,34% |
|---|
| SUGAR | 14,45 | 14,39 | -0,42% | | 10,68 | 14,90 | 7,23% | 11,55% |
|---|
