Central banks won't cut rates until they target inflation. Possible temporary readjustments in intermediate tranches, but we do not expect new highs in IRR.
In general, all fixed income is attractive at current prices, although we prefer investment-grade and duration-grade corporate.
The level of defaults in US high yield could have peaked, so the better return-to-risk ratio in USD. The high yieid in EUR also presents better prospects.
- Tight credit spreads on both European and US bonds.
- Stabilization of yields on government bonds, both European and American.
- Improvement in the fixed income of emerging countries in "hard" currencies.